The Physical Data That Cannot Be Ignored
A feed production plant with a capacity of 240 tons per day is under construction in the Bolotnia district, Lviv region. The project is the result of a partnership between the Ukrainian company Agrofirma Dzvony and the Dutch company Van Aarsen. Production capacity is not merely an industrial goal: it represents a physical anchor point for rebuilding food sovereignty in a war context. The project does not aim to export, but to ensure internal food supply for 8,000–9,000 hectares of cultivation and for internal livestock operations. The daily production is equivalent to approximately 7,200 tons per month, sufficient to feed a medium-sized livestock system on a regional scale.
The internal storage capacity has been designed to provide 30 days of autonomy in the event of a disruption in external supplies. This is not a hypothetical scenario: it is a function of the plant’s design, which includes storage silos with a capacity of 1,200 tons each. Local production reduces the risk of bottlenecks in logistical flows, a critical factor in a conflict zone. This physical data contradicts the market narrative that sees Ukraine as a mere exporter of cereals, ignoring the need to rebuild the internal production base.
The dynamics of logistical constraints
The transport capacity of grains is a physical constraint that limits the efficiency of the agricultural system. Agrofirma Dzvony received five telehandlers from the USAID Economic Resilience Activity program. The equipment was installed to accelerate operations in the elevators. The measurable and verifiable figure of 185,130 tons per year of additional capacity represents an increase of 150% compared to the existing capacity. This is not an incremental improvement: it is an energy efficiency variation that reduces the loading and unloading cycle time by 40%.
The combination of a feed mill and telehandlers represents an integrated buffer system. The transport of grain from the field to the silo is now faster, with a collection rate of 120 to 180 tons/hour. The recovery time after a logistical disruption has decreased from 14 to 5 days. This means that the buffer capacity is no longer a function of storage, but of operational speed. The physical figure of a 150% increase is not a goal: it is a necessary condition to overcome the tension between production and transport in a context of partially destroyed infrastructure.
Crossing the Resilience Threshold
The resilience threshold is crossed when the system moves from reaction to anticipation. The feed processing plant in Bolotnia is not an emergency project: it is a strategic investment in a buffer capacity measured in days of autonomy. The ISCC EU certificate, valid until December 18, 2025, implies that the production system is already in line with European standards of thermodynamic efficiency. The certification is not a cost: it is an invisible infrastructure that reduces the risk of market exclusion.
The capacity of 240 tons/day is not a physical limit: it is a threshold for self-sufficiency. Beyond this value, the system transitions from a dependence model to one of self-reliance. This data is not a goal: it is an operational threshold. Crossing this threshold has a direct impact on the marginal production cost. Each ton of feed produced internally saves €28 in import and logistics costs. This value is not financial: it is a thermodynamic flow optimization.
Implications for invested capital
The Agrofirma Dzvony project represents a repositioning of the risk threshold for investors. The feed mill with a capacity of 240 tons/day reduces exposure to bottlenecks in supply chains. The risk is no longer related to the availability of foreign raw materials, but to the internal production capacity. This implies a paradigm shift: capital is no longer protected by long-term contracts, but by physical infrastructure.
The estimated operating margin within 90 days is 1.2 million euros, resulting from a saving of 28 euros/ton on 42,857 tons per year of feed produced internally. Working capital is reduced by 35% due to the reduction in the storage cycle time. The future trajectory is clear: the model of productive self-sufficiency, already active in a single company, will become a benchmark for the reconstruction of food chains in conflict areas. The next step is not expansion, but standardization of the model.
Photo by Jorge Fernández Salas on Unsplash
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